Dow (DOW) Up 16% in 3 Months: What's Driving the Stock?

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Dow Inc.’s DOW shares have gained 16.4% over the past three months. The company has also outperformed its industry’s rise of 9.1% over the same time frame. Moreover, it has topped the S&P 500’s 6.4% rise over the same period.

Let’s take a look into the factors that are driving this Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stock.

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What’s Working in DOW’s Favor?

Forecast-topping results in the fourth quarter and upbeat prospects have contributed to the gain in Dow’s shares. The company’s adjusted earnings of 81 cents per share for the fourth quarter surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 69 cents. Net sales of $10,706 million went up roughly 5% year over year on higher volumes and prices and also beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9,896.7 million.

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Dow, in its fourth-quarter call, noted that it entered the new year with momentum on a sequential comparison basis and is well-placed for sustained profitable growth amid the ongoing economic recovery. The company expects rising margins as differentiated parts of its portfolio witness improving demand on market recovery.

Dow is benefiting from higher demand for its materials across healthcare and packaging markets, thanks to the coronavirus pandemic. The outbreak has led to a surge in demand for health, hygiene and safety products. It is also seeing a recovery across a number of major markets including automotive, consumer durable and construction. The company also remains committed to invest in attractive areas through highly accretive projects.

Moreover, Dow is gaining from cost synergy savings and productivity initiatives. The company focuses on maintaining cost and operational discipline. Dow achieved roughly $500 million in operating expense reductions in 2020.

The company also expects to realize more than $300 million annualized EBITDA benefit from a restructuring program being initiated in the third quarter of 2020. Dow expects the restructuring program to be substantially complete by end-2021.

Dow also remains committed to return value to its shareholders by leveraging strong cash flows. It generated strong operating cash flows from continuing operations of $6.3 billion and free cash flow of $5 billion in 2020. The company also returned $2.1 billion in dividends to its shareholders in 2020. Dow is also taking actions to further strengthen its financial position.


Dow Inc. Price and Consensus

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Dow Inc. price-consensus-chart | Dow Inc. Quote


Stocks to Consider

Other top-ranked stocks worth considering in the basic materials space include Nucor Corporation NUE, Fortescue Metals Group Limited FSUGY and United States Steel Corporation X.

Nucor has a projected earnings growth rate of 135.3% for the current year. The company’s shares have surged around 124% in a year. It currently sports a Zacks Rank #1. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Fortescue has a projected earnings growth rate of 107.8% for the current fiscal. The company’s shares have shot up around 155% in a year. It currently sports a Zacks Rank #1.

U.S. Steel has an expected earnings growth rate of 201.1% for the current year. The company’s shares have surged around 301% in the past year. It currently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).

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