Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall – Dow Trend Forecast 2021 Review

This post was originally published on this site

Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021 Sep 19, 2021 – 10:29 PM GMT

By: Nadeem_Walayat

My last analysis posted on the 1st of September proved to be a timely reminder that an historically overbought stock market on virtually every measure was entering into the seasonally worst trading month of the year that at the very least suggests to prepare for a significant correction with each passing day and there was even a possibility of market panic event, a CRASH for which there are countless indicators that I have been covering since Mid June such as what is taking place in the Reverse Repo market of a defacto brewing Financial Crisis 2.0, the magnitude of which we will only realise with the benefit of hindsight, hence why I sold out of 80% of my Top AI stocks during the summer months with the last being to exit IBM leaving my AI stocks portfolio in it’s current state, devoid for the first time in many years of the likes of Microsoft Apple, Nvidia and Amazon, with holdings of Google and Facebook greatly reduced.

Though at the time and since I have iterated my intentions to buy back some of the less over valued stocks during the second half of October as the probable conclusion of a market correction, which remains my objective regardless of whether the correction materialises or not that this analysis seeks to clarify the magnitude of as the stock market tumbles from near it’s all time high the deeper we move into September with my primary focus being on mapping out a trend into the end of this year, that is now accompanied by a secondary projection deep into 2022.

Stock Market Forecast 2021 Review – Firstly a review of my forecast for 2021 as of the 9th of Feb.

9th Feb 2021 – Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2021

Dow Stock Market 2021 Outlook Forecast Conclusion

Therefore my forecast conclusion is for the Dow to target a trend to between 34,500 and 35,000 by the end of 2021 for a gain of 13.5% to 15.2% on the year that should be punctuated by at least one significant correction starting early May 2021.

The updated graph shows that whilst the stock market did begin a correction early May and continued into Mid June, however in terms of price was nowhere to the expected extent and thus was one of the primary reasons why I took it as an opportunity to SELL into the highs. So whilst we are likely to get another run higher into the end of the year, that run higher should be coming off a significant correction during Sept / Oct.

The rest of this extensive analysis has first made available to Patrons who support my work – Stock Market FOMO Hits September Brick Wall – Dow Trend Forecast Sept 2021 to May 2022


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So for immediate first access to ALL of my analysis and trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month that is soon set to increase to $4 per month for new Patrons, so a short window of opportunity exists to lock in at $3 per month now before the price hike.

Including access to my recent extensive analysis updating AI stocks buying levels as we head towards the window for a significant correction even a possible stock market crash.

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My analysis schedule includes:

  • Stock Market Trend Forecast September to December 2021
  • Silver Price Trend Analysis, AI Stocks Portfolio Update – 50% Done
  • How to Get Rich! – 90% done – This is a good 6 month work in progress nearing completion.

  • UK House Prices Trend Analysis, including an update for the US and a quick look at Canada – 15% done
  • US Dollar and British Pound analysis
  • Gold Price Trend Analysis – 10%

Again for immediate access to all my work do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for just $3 per month that is soon set to increase to $4 per month for new Patrons, so a short window of opportunity exists to lock in at $3 per month.

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Your AI data preprocessing analyst.

Nadeem Walayat

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Nadeem Walayat has over 35 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Nadeem’s forward looking analysis focuses on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and housing market. He is the author of five ebook’s in the The Inflation Mega-Trend and Stocks Stealth Bull Market series that can be downloaded for Free.

Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication that presents in-depth analysis from over 1000 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets, thus enabling our readers to arrive at an informed opinion on future market direction.

Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any trading losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors before engaging in any trading activities.

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