Stocks extended declines Monday, falling for a fifth consecutive session with benchmark 10-year Treasury note yields piercing a fresh 2-year high following last week’s hawkish Fed minutes and robust jobs data.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 368 points, or 1%, to 35, 863, while the S&P 500 dropped 1.3% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq, which posted its worst week since last February, dropped 1.7%.
“The market has gotten off to a chilly start with stocks seemingly still digesting the FOMC minutes surprise—with the Fed revealing a more aggressive agenda,” said Chris Larkin, managing director of trading for E*Trade. “But keep in mind the S&P hit two new records to kick off 2022. And with recent history as our guide, retail traders are pretty resilient.”
With earnings season about to kickoff, Larkin said, “the spotlight could come off the Fed for a bit, as traders get a temperature check on balance sheets.”
The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose 1.8%, a two-year high.
Goldman Sachs increased its estimate of the number of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes this year to four from three, as the Fed has taken a more hawkish policy stance.
In the minutes of its December meeting, released Wednesday, the Fed said rampant inflation and a red-hot job market could necessitate rate hikes “sooner or at a faster pace than participants had earlier anticipated.”
“Every trader over the weekend read the Goldman note that eyed four Fed rates hikes and balance sheet runoff in July, if not sooner,” said Edward Moya, senior market analyst for the Americas with Oanda. “Surging yields are kryptonite for many tech stocks and that theme won’t change until after we get past the first couple rate hikes.”
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to take questions from the Senate Banking Committee as part of his renomination process Tuesday.
December data on inflation and retail sales are due on Wednesday and Friday.
Meanwhile, Wall Street’s biggest banks will kick off the fourth quarter earnings season Friday with reports from JPMorgan Chase (JPM) – Get JPMorgan Chase & Co. Report, Citigroup, C and Wells Fargo (WFC) – Get Wells Fargo & Company Report.
Lululemon Athletica (LULU) – Get Lululemon Athletica Inc Report shares slumped after the athletic and leisure apparel company cautioned that its fourth quarter earnings would likely be hit by staff shortages and reduced store hours linked to the global surge in Omicron infections.
Zynga (ZNGA) – Get Zynga Inc. Class A Report soared after Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) – Get Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. Report said would buy in a $12.7 billion deal that combines the maker of video game hits such as Grand Theft Auto and NBA 2k with the leading developer of mobile and social gaming network platform.