XRP’s price action in June 2025 shows a striking similarity to Bitcoin’s technical setup before its surge from $70K to $100K in late 2024. This mirror image, along with supportive price floors and growing institutional interest, may be the pieces needed to ignite another significant crypto rally.
What’s Changing on XRP’s Chart?
1. MACD Gauge: Bearish on Surface, Bullish Beneath
- Weekly MACD has stayed negative since early March, but XRP has held steady in the $2–$2.6 range—reflecting hidden buying power.
- This price–momentum divergence is similar to Bitcoin’s in 2024, when it shrugged off bearish MACD to later smash through $100K.
2. Firm Support Around $1.92–$2.10
- Technical analysts highlight key zones:
- ~$1.92 support (tested May–June)
- Mid‑range pivot at $2.07–$2.10, aligning with 200‑day moving average
- Holding these levels would keep the bullish thesis intact.
3. Range Breakout Brewing
- XRP has recently broken above intraday resistances of $2.15–$2.18 on rising volume.
- Bollinger Band compression and ascending channel formation are signaling an imminent breakout.
What Could Propel XRP Higher?
- Technical Playbook: A decisive close above $2.20–$2.33, with volume, could validate a breakout and potentially lead to a challenge of $2.40+. Next target: resistance near $2.65 .
- Market Sentiment: BTC hovering in its $100K+ range sets a positive tone for altcoins—including XRP—especially during an “altseason”.
- Institutional Green Lights:
- Added to the Nasdaq Crypto US Settlement Price Index, upping its credibility.
- CME launched XRP futures in May, boosting institutional access and liquidity.
- Regulatory Wind: Ongoing Ripple‑SEC case resolution could lift XRP’s final U.S. restrictions.
Headwinds to Watch
- Volume Risk: Weak volume in corrective moves might lead to fakeouts—both bearish and bullish.
- Key Level Breakdown: A drop below $2.05–$2.07 (and especially below $1.92) on volume could trigger deeper sell‑offs toward $1.55.
What Traders Should Do
- Bullish Entry Criteria:
- Stay above $2.05–$2.10
- Watch for breakout above $2.20–$2.33 with volume
- Confirm via MACD/RSI signals
- Risk Management:
- Set protective stops just below $2.05 or $1.92 for buys
- For bears, a drop under $2.05 could open scalp/short opportunities toward $1.93 or $1.55
- Monitor cointegration with Bitcoin for clues on risk appetite and momentum.
If History Repeats…
- XRP is mimicking Bitcoin’s positions heading into its last major bull phase.
- Defensive price floors are holding.
- Institutional setups (Nasdaq index, CME futures) and potential legal clarity could drive the next leg higher.
If XRP holds its levels this week and flips resistance into support, we may be approaching the setup for a major breakout that surprises many.
Why XRP Could Explode Soon
- Mirror image of Bitcoin’s pre‑$100K MACD pattern
- Solid support at ~$2.10–$1.92
- Rising institutional interest and improved credibility
- Potential outcome: sustained move above $2.20 leading into Q3
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Could XRP hit $5 in 2025?
- Long‑term targets vary: from $3–$8 if breakout holds, some analysts bullish on forecasts to $5+.
Q: What would invalidate the bullish setup?
- A decisively low close under $1.92–$2.05 on volume signals downside is still dominant.
Q: Are U.S. regulatory risks still a factor?
- Yes. The SEC lawsuit resolution is still pending and could dramatically affect market behavior.
FULL COVERAGE: XRP | Bitcoin | Cryptocurrency Market