Dow drops towards key support as EUR/JPY pauses its ascent and natural gas rises

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​​​Macro update

​Asian equities drop sharply:

​Regional markets slid, with the Nikkei 225 and MSCI Asia-Pacific both falling more than 2% as the latest US jobs report offered little clarity on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) near-term rate path.

​Global tech slump deepens:

​US technology stocks sold off despite Nvidia’s upbeat outlook, leaving the Nasdaq with its widest intraday swing since early April and pulling European equity futures notably lower.

​Uncertain US rate outlook:

​Solid September payroll gains were offset by a rise in unemployment and downward revisions, pushing Treasury yields lower as traders lifted the probability of a December Fed cut to around 40%.

​Japan rolls out stimulus:

​Prime Minister Takaichi announced a ¥21.3 trillion support package, pressuring the yen and JGBs before yields eased on guidance that bond issuance will be smaller than last year.

​BOJ tightening pressure mounts:

​Core inflation in Japan rose to 3% in October, fuelling expectations of an imminent rate hike, while officials warned they may intervene in FX markets as the Japanese yen trades near a 10-month low.

​Commodities weaken:

​Oil extended its decline on hopes of progress in Russia-Ukraine peace talks, while gold eased from recent highs as safe-haven flows shifted toward the yen rather than precious metals.

​Dow Jones drops towards key support

​The Dow Jones Industrial Average swiftly reversed Thursday’s gap higher and is seen falling towards its key October 45,452 low.

​Were it to be slid through on a daily chart closing basis, a medium-term top may be formed with the July highs and September low at 44,948-to-44,855 being in sight.

​For the bulls to be back in control, a rise above Thursday’s high at 46,856 needs to be seen. 

Dow Jones daily candlestick chart