Bitcoin Price Forecast 2026: Institutions, Halving Set Stage for $150K BTC Price

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US dollar index daily chart. Source: TradingView

As confidence in fiscal discipline erodes, capital gradually moves toward scarce alternatives such as gold—and, increasingly, Bitcoin—particularly among institutions seeking long-duration protection instead of cyclical exposure.

Institutional Adoption Broadens

The regulatory path for Bitcoin and a broader crypto market has become clearer in the US. In my view, this further supports the case for a $150,000 BTC price by the year’s end.

Grayscale’s 2023 court win against the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) helped open the door for regulated spot products. The US then approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, followed by spot Ether products in 2024, giving institutions a straightforward ETF wrapper for exposure.

In 2025, Congress passed the GENIUS Act on stablecoins, while policymakers moved toward clearer, more standardized guidance for the sector.

That shift has resulted in institutional adoption, as discussed above with ETFs and DATS statistics.

Still, under 0.5% of US advised wealth is allocated to crypto, per Grayscale estimate, implying the adoption curve is still early.

In my view, institutional inflows will accelerate in 2026, further enabling the BTC price rally toward $150,000.

Bitcoin Technical Analysis: Ascending Triangle Breakout Toward $112,000

I see Bitcoin forming an ascending triangle pattern after the December correction, which raises the odds of BTC price undergoing a breakout toward $112,00 in the coming weeks.

An ascending triangle is defined by rising lows and a flat resistance level. In simple terms, sellers are defending a clear ceiling, but each pullback is being bought at higher prices. That behavior signals growing demand and shrinking selling pressure.