FedEx (FDX) is set to post its final earnings report of its fiscal 2025 after the market closes on Tuesday, with traders expecting a sizable move from the shipping giant’s stock.
Based on current options prices for FedEx’s stock, investors are anticipating a move of close to 7%, or nearly $16, in either direction over the rest of the week of trading after the Tuesday afternoon report. At the high end, that would put FedEx stock at just over $245, with the low end just over $213.
The stock has had some volatile sessions after its recent earnings reports. Shares sank 6% the day after last quarter’s report, and rose 1% following December’s results when FedEx announced plans to spin off its Freight business.
FedEx shares are down by nearly a fifth since the start of the year, with their largest drop following the “Liberation Day” tariff announcement, amid concerns that shipping demand could take a hit if tariffs raise prices and lead to a decrease in discretionary spending.
In its fiscal fourth quarter, FedEx is projected to report a small decline in revenue from the same time a year ago to $21.82 billion, while adjusted earnings per share are expected to rise to $5.88 from $5.42 as FedEx continues to work through its cost-cutting efforts.
Analysts are still mostly bullish on FedEx’s stock, with 12 “buy” ratings among the 14 analysts tracked by Visible Alpha and just two “hold” ratings. Their average price target sits at about $281, suggesting over 22% upside from Monday’s close.